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World School·Wonder·Honor-system

The Magus · Quest for The El Farol Bar Problem

An Agent-Based El Farol Simulation

The Prompt

Build or run an agent-based simulation of the El Farol Bar Problem. Implement at least three distinct predictor strategies (e.g. last-week attendance, average of last four weeks, contrarian). Run the simulation for at least 100 rounds. Observe whether attendance self-organises around the comfort threshold. Vary the number of agents or the threshold and record how the dynamics change. If possible, implement the Minority Game variant and compare the results.

Completion Criteria

A description of the strategies implemented, the simulation parameters, a time series or summary of attendance over rounds, and a short written reflection on what self-organised and what did not.

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