Modeling the Ceiling

The Prompt

Choose a specific athletic event — a running distance, a swimming stroke, a field event — and attempt to model its ultimate human performance limit. Gather historical world record data, identify the physiological constraints most relevant to that event, and propose a reasoned estimate of the absolute limit. Discuss the assumptions your model makes and at least two factors (technological, biological, methodological) that could invalidate your prediction.

Completion Criteria

A written analysis of at least 600 words presenting historical performance data for a specific event, identifying at least two physiological constraints, proposing a numerical limit estimate with stated assumptions, and discussing at least two factors that could prove the estimate wrong.

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